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20k Perth homes are underwater, Some could fall 40%

Phil Tarrant and Liam Garman work through the spread of negative equity, from 20,000 Perth homes reportedly worth less than owners paid to a harbourside Sydney listing that was offered $28 million pre-budget and is now guiding $20 million plus. They also cover revised bank and economist forecasts, the unintended consequences of the trust and negative gearing changes for builders, falling first home buyer numbers, and One Nation's pledge to restore the CGT discount on two investment properties.

Friday 23 October 2026 43:33

Daily Brief · Monday 26 October

18 Melbourne suburbs now outrun the $950k first-home cap

Melbourne units price themselves out of the federal guarantee, Queensland's affordable belt shrinks, and the first passengers fly from Western Sydney International.

Read the brief
  1. policy

    18 Melbourne suburbs now sit above the $950k first-home cap

    REA Group

  2. prices

    Regional markets hold up as the national price measure records its biggest fall

    ABC

  3. policy

    169 Queensland suburbs have moved out of first-home buyer range

    REA Group

  4. notable sale

    Miami beachfront apartment sets a Gold Coast suburb record

    REA Group

  5. development

    First passengers fly from Western Sydney International

    ABC

  6. prices

    Metropole's Michael Yardney argues a 'slingshot effect' is coming for falling markets

    Metropole

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Jim Chalmers, Aged Care & Unintended Consequences
46:57

Jim Chalmers, Aged Care & Unintended Consequences

Phil Tarrant and Liam Garman unpack why the Treasurer's inflation explanation does not stack up against the CPI and oil price data, and why the RBA says it does not model government spending. Phil then sets out a new argument: because aged care entry is means tested against the family home, falling property values shift the cost of caring for older Australians onto the taxpayer. The pair also work through the fallout from the credit card surcharge ban and payday super for small business.

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