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20k Perth homes are underwater, Some could fall 40%

Phil Tarrant and Liam Garman work through the spread of negative equity, from 20,000 Perth homes reportedly worth less than owners paid to a harbourside Sydney listing that was offered $28 million pre-budget and is now guiding $20 million plus. They also cover revised bank and economist forecasts, the unintended consequences of the trust and negative gearing changes for builders, falling first home buyer numbers, and One Nation's pledge to restore the CGT discount on two investment properties.

Friday 23 October 2026 43:33

Daily Brief · Tuesday 27 October

Queensland rental squeeze: 48 of 50 markets still tight

Only one Queensland rental market rates as healthy, low-deposit buyers face negative equity, and markets now price a November rate hike above 60 per cent.

Read the brief
  1. rentals

    Just one Queensland rental market rated healthy as squeeze holds

    REA Group

  2. lending

    Falling values leave low-deposit buyers owing money if they sell

    REA Group

  3. prices

    Economist says cheaper homes are now falling faster than luxury

    REA Group

  4. rates

    Markets price November rate hike chance above 60 per cent

    ABC

  5. prices

    Approved Chinese investment in Australian homes down 65pc in two years

    Real Estate Business

  6. prices

    Buyers hunt bargains in softer Victorian and NSW markets

    Real Estate Business

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Jim Chalmers, Aged Care & Unintended Consequences
46:57

Jim Chalmers, Aged Care & Unintended Consequences

Phil Tarrant and Liam Garman unpack why the Treasurer's inflation explanation does not stack up against the CPI and oil price data, and why the RBA says it does not model government spending. Phil then sets out a new argument: because aged care entry is means tested against the family home, falling property values shift the cost of caring for older Australians onto the taxpayer. The pair also work through the fallout from the credit card surcharge ban and payday super for small business.

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