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Is Australia heading for a French-style debt crisis?

Phil Tarrant and Liam Garman compare France's fiscal position with Australia's, arguing the tax and spending settings here are closer to breaking point than most Australians assume. They also cover the ATO's approach to small business, new underquoting and auction disclosure rules in NSW and Victoria, and what the SMSF residential ban has done to development pipelines.

Friday 30 October 2026 49:58

Daily Brief · Wednesday 4 November

Cash rate hits 18-year high as Westpac tips 11pc price fall

The RBA's fifth hike of 2026 lands, Westpac forecasts an 11 per cent price fall, distressed listings jump 42 per cent, and first-home buyers crack Fitzroy at $950,000.

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  1. rates

    RBA lifts cash rate to 4.85%, the highest since 2008

    ABC

  2. prices

    Westpac forecasts 11 per cent house price fall, books $6.8b profit

    Nine

  3. supply

    Distressed listings jump 42 per cent as unsold homes stack up

    REA Group

  4. prices

    First-home buyers land a Fitzroy house for $950,000

    REA Group

  5. other

    TikTok complaint about a builder ends up costing the poster $1m

    Nine

  6. prices

    Buyers sense an opening in the slump, agent says it is early days

    ABC

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20k Perth homes are underwater, Some could fall 40%
43:33

20k Perth homes are underwater, Some could fall 40%

Phil Tarrant and Liam Garman work through the spread of negative equity, from 20,000 Perth homes reportedly worth less than owners paid to a harbourside Sydney listing that was offered $28 million pre-budget and is now guiding $20 million plus. They also cover revised bank and economist forecasts, the unintended consequences of the trust and negative gearing changes for builders, falling first home buyer numbers, and One Nation's pledge to restore the CGT discount on two investment properties.

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